D.K. Foreman – Personal Blog

Shemitah Cycle

Suicide rates jump 24 percent, but why?

by on Oct.22, 2017, under 2017 Year, Shemitah Cycle

ATLANTA – It’s a troubling trend.

More and more Americans, especially young people, are dying from suicide. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention says suicides are now the second leading cause of death in younger Americans between the ages of 15 and 34. From 1999 to 2014, the number of Americans dying from suicide rose 24%, the Atlanta-based health agency reports. The two groups with the highest jump in suicides: girls ages 10 to 14 and middle-aged men.

“It really troubles me,” psychiatrist Dr. Raymond Kotwicki, says. He is the Chief Medical Officer of Skyland Trail, a non-profit mental health treatment facility in Atlanta.Dr. Kotwicki believes there two keys factors playing into the jump in suicide deaths.

“One is having a mental illness, for which you don’t receive treatment,” Kotwicki says. “That is a real risk factor for suicide completion.”

Experts estimate up to 90 percent of people who attempt suicide suffer from a mental illness like major depression. Dr. Kotwicki says there are scientifically-proven, very effective treatments for depression and other mental illnesses, like medication, talk therapy, and support programs.

“But, my concern is that the stigma that goes with saying, ‘Yes. I am someone who has a mental illness,’ prevents people from engaging and getting that treatment,” Kotwicki says.

Another key factor driving the increase in suicides? Kotwicki believes Americans, especially younger people, are feeling more disconnected from the world around them. He says we know strong social connections and a sense of community are both protective against mental illness. But, he believes, we’re texting more and talking less than we ever have, driving that disconnect.

“Having somebody looking a computer screen typing doesn’t provide the social connectivity that I think is heartfelt, and something that a lot of young people, especially, can use to say, ‘You know, I’m having a hard time. But I know there are people. who have my back, who care for me and I know I’ll be okay,'” Kotwicki explains.

Substance abuse may also be driving the jump in suicide deaths. The CDC reports most people who die from suicide were intoxicated at or around the time of their deaths, either with alcohol, opioid pain medications, or other drugs. And, Dr. Kotwicki is concerned that the rise in opioid addiction will only fuel the problem.If you’re concerned about someone you care about, ask them if they’re thinking about suicide, he says. If they are, Dr. Kotwicki says, take it seriously, and get help immediately.

“Call 911 or take the person to the closest emergency room.” Suicide, he says, is a medical emergency, just like a heart attack.

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Endtimes: Millions wiped off British pensions as FTSE 100 loses £60BILLION in just hours

by on Aug.26, 2015, under 2015 Year, Endtimes, Financial, Shemitah Cycle, World News

LONDON’S FTSE 100 has plunged to its lowest level in almost three years, slashing the value of British pensions, after a disastrous ‘Black Monday’ of trading in China sent shock waves through global markets.

China's Black Monday hit trading in London today

China’s Black Monday hit trading in London today

By Lana Clements
PUBLISHED: 11:46, Mon, Aug 24, 2015 | UPDATED: 22:36, Mon, Aug 24, 2015

Panic selling ripped through UK markets this morning sinking the index of Britain’s largest companies by three per cent, wiping around £60billion off its worth, as it reached as low as 5768.22.

Unless the index recovers today is set to be the largest one day fall of the FTSE since 2008, over the last two weeks more than £160billion has been torn off the value of UK stock markets.

And the Dow Jones finished down 3.6 per cent after earlier dropping more than 1,000 points – or almost 7 per cent of its value.

The drop in the FTSE affects the worth of pension pots, and British savers and investors have been told to brace themselves for further losses.

Today’s mayhem followed China’s worst day of trading since 2007, where the country’s main indexes dropped by a staggering eight per cent.

Sell offs in China are related to fears over the country’s slowing economy and the Chinese government’s reaction, but have been compounded in the last couple of weeks by falling oil prices and political instability in other parts of the world.

The re-emergence of a crisis in Greece has spooked investors, with the troubled country now promising fresh volatility as it heads for early elections in September.

Elections in Spain and Portugal are also weighing on the mind’s of investors.

Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets UK, said: “We have a recipe for a big cocktail of uncertainty.

“As we embark on the final full week of August the prospect of further large scale volatility seems almost inevitable as investors look towards Chinese markets in particular for further clues to market direction…

“Against this backdrop it would take an investor with nerves of steel to contemplate dipping back into the market at this point.”

Today's FTSE 100 fall has been the largest since 2008.

Today’s FTSE 100 fall has been the largest since 2008.

However, other critics urged households and investors not to panic and said that now could even be a good buying opportunity.

Laith Khalaf, senior analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown, said: “The Footsie has been decimated in ten trading days, as fears over global growth have gripped international markets.

“China and commodities are still dominating proceedings, with mining companies once again bearing the brunt of poor sentiment.

“Pension funds and private investors alike will be licking their wounds, and wondering when the sell-off is going to come to an end.

“This is undoubtedly an uncomfortable period for investors, but it’s at times like these that it pays to keep your head.

“However bleak things may seem today there are reasons to be positive.

“A lower oil price will boost household budgets in the UK, Europe and the US, which should feed through into spending.

“And as long as lower petrol prices are keeping inflation down, central banks are unlikely to raise interest rates, so mortgage payments are likely to remain low for some time yet.

“Stock market corrections, like the one we are witnessing, present investors with an opportunity to put new money to work in the market at lower prices. No-one knows when this bout of angst will end, and stock prices may yet have further to fall.

“But when the market as a whole is fearful, it’s usually a good time to top up your holdings.”

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Endtimes: Oil’s latest casualty: Mexico

by on Aug.24, 2015, under 2015 Year, Endtimes, Financial, Hispanic Community, Revival In America, Shemitah Cycle

“Another disappointing year” looms for Mexico, with growth hit by the rout in the oil price and falling crude production, amid concerns as to the impact of the upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate hike.

The country will post its second quarter gross domestic product (GDP) figure later on Thursday and will be closely watched especially after the Mexican central bank lowered its growth forecast for 2015 for a fourth time last week, to between 1.7 percent and 2.5 percent.

Susana Gonzalez | Bloomberg via Getty Images

Susana Gonzalez | Bloomberg via Getty Images

The oil rout has hurt Mexico, whose top export is crude petroleum. Light crude hit a six-and-a-half-year-low on Thursday of $40.21 and a dip below $40 seems possible for the first time since 2009.

“This suggests the economy is on course for another disappointing year as crude production continues to fall and the currency remains under pressure,” Wolfango Piccoli, managing director at Teneo Intelligence, said in a research note this week.

Barclays Research forecasts Mexico’s economy expanded by a seasonally adjusted 0.9 percent quarter-on-quarter between April and June, with solid growth in the services sector helping offset weaker industrial production.

This would be up from 0.4 percent in the first quarter of 2015 and 0.7 percent in the last three months of 2014, but means Mexico is unlikely to return to the 4 percent-plus annual growth posted between 2010 and 2012.

Screen Shot 2015-08-24 at 9.12.02 AM

‘Unusual disconnect’ between US, Mexico

The U.S. remains by far Mexico’s biggest export destination. But despite the close ties, Mexico’s economy is lagging its northern neighbor’s recovery.

This could prove problematic when the U.S. Fed eventually moves to hike interest rates, as Mexico’s central bank has signaled its readiness to move in sync. However, the jury’s out on whether the Mexican economy is ready for monetary tightening.

Analysts at Barclays highlight an “unusual disconnect between the U.S. and Mexico’s economic cycle,” pointing to the waning importance of trade links in recent years.

“While the U.S. continues to import about 80 percent of Mexico’s total exports, the relative importance of other economies, such as China, has increased during the past years,” said Barclays’ Andres Jaime Martinez and Marco Oviedo in a note on Tuesday.

Energy reforms to add 1.5% to GDP?

Energy reforms long-touted by President Enrique Pena Nieto, including the sale of state-owned oil fields, could add up to 1.5 percent to GDP growth in the years ahead, say Barclays analysts.

However, progress has been delayed by the rout in oil prices, disappointing reception of earlier field auctions and corruption allegations that has engulfed the Mexican president.

“The weak performance of the economy adds to the pressures facing President Enrique Pena Nieto, who must now push through an austerity budget for 2016 while attempting to kick-start the energy reform implementation process,” said Piccoli.

—By CNBC’s Katy Barnato. Follow her @KatyBarnato.

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Breaking News – Monday August 24, 2015

by on Aug.24, 2015, under 2015 Year, Endtimes, Financial, Revival In America, Shemitah Cycle, World News

World markets plunge as China stocks crash

World markets plunge as China stocks crash

World markets plunge as China stocks crash

World stocks and oil prices plunged Monday as a global sell off accelerated on worries about the health of China’s huge economy.

China stocks crashed and all Asian markets suffered major losses. Europe’s markets were bleeding heavily by midday — down about 5%. And Wall Street was poised for another sharp drop.

Fears of slowing growth in the world’s second biggest economy trashed commodity markets. Oil slumped more than 4% to a new six-year low below $39 a barrel.
China’s benchmark Shanghai Composite index declined 8.5%, wiping out all gains made this year. Many companies, including some large state-owned firms, fell by the maximum daily limit of 10%. The index is now down 38% since its June peak.
The smaller Shenzhen Composite lost 7.7%.

In Japan, the Nikkei closed down 4.6%. Stocks in India suffered their biggest fall in more than seven years.
Germany’s DAX shed 4.6%, and the FTSE 100 in London fared little better.

The losses went beyond stocks and commodities. Asian currencies were trading lower against the U.S. dollar, and Russia’s ruble fell by nearly 3%.
Three factors have investors on the run:

1. Concerns that China’s economy is slowing faster than analysts had anticipated.
2. Uncertainty over when the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise interest rates for the first time in nearly a decade.
3. The effect of exceedingly cheap oil, which slams exporting countries as well as drilling companies.

The Dow plummeted by more than 1,000 points last week — its worst five-day run since 2011. The Shanghai Composite fell 11.5% over the same period.

Analysts at UBS said that central banks stand ready to provide support if sentiment worsens.
“Investors should brace for further volatility,” they wrote in a research note. “But we expect this bout of risk aversion to pass, with equities in developed markets resuming their upward trend.”

Concerns mounted after a key gauge of China’s manufacturing activity tumbled to its lowest level in 77 months. This week, investors will get a closer look at Chinese imports, vital for many countries that rely on China as a trade partner.

Many investors and economists had bet on a Fed rate hike in September, something it hasn’t done since 2006. But in the Fed’s minutes published last week, committee members sent the market mixed messages.

A rate hike would increase borrowing costs — interest on loans — for companies in emerging markets. It would also make American debt more attractive to investors, which means they could dump emerging market debt.

And then there’s oil. A year ago, a barrel of oil cost about $100 — now it’s trading near $40.

Oil is a lifeline of economic growth for many developing countries, which are also seeing their currencies lose value because of their economic exposure to China.


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